The first big political signals from the 2026 Assembly elections are out, and they point to a dramatic shift in several key states across India.
According to exit polls released after the final phase of voting, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is projected to make a major breakthrough in West Bengal, potentially unseating the ruling Trinamool Congress.
Most surveys indicate the BJP could secure between 142 and 175 seats, while the TMC may fall behind with 99 to 140 seats.
Bengal Set for Big Political Twist?
If these projections hold true, it would mark a historic win for the BJP in West Bengal—a state that has long resisted the party’s expansion. However, some polls still suggest a tight contest, indicating that the final outcome could be closer than expected.
UDF Eyes Comeback in Kerala
In Kerala, the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) appears to be heading for a comeback after years out of power. Exit polls suggest growing voter fatigue against the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF), giving the UDF a clear edge in the state.
This could mark a significant turnaround in Kerala’s political landscape, where power has traditionally alternated between the two alliances.
NDA Firmly Ahead in Assam
Assam, meanwhile, looks set to continue under BJP-led rule. Multiple exit polls predict a comfortable victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma.
Estimates suggest the NDA could win anywhere between 85 and 100 seats in the 126-member Assembly, far ahead of the opposition.
Bigger National Implications
These exit poll trends indicate a possible resurgence for the BJP and its allies after a challenging phase in national politics. A strong performance in states like Bengal and Assam could boost the party’s momentum ahead of future electoral battles.
Not the Final Verdict
While exit polls provide an early glimpse into voter sentiment, they are not always accurate. Past elections have shown that actual results can differ significantly once counting begins.
The official results, scheduled to be declared soon, will determine whether these projections translate into reality.
For now, the message from exit polls is clear: India’s political map could be heading for a major reshuffle.